Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -21.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +31 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | BC -25.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.8 (+15.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -18.5 (+12.5) | 143.3 (+15.7) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -18.3 (+12.7) | 143.2 (+15.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -19.3 (+11.7) | 142.1 (+16.9) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -19.1 (+11.9) | 141.5 (+17.5) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 13, 2021 | BC 85 – 55 HC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | HC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-16 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 6-12 |
| Home | 10-6 | 5-8 |
| Away | 7-7 | 4-14 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.1 | 65.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 75.1 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#95) | -14.8 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.90 (#106) | -2.14 (#321) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#104) | -3.36 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#83) | 0.376 (#340) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | HC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.3% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 13.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 54.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 13.4% |
| DRB% | 73.8% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 22.4% |
Game Analysis
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