Betting Lines
| Spread | TCU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | CLEM +122 TCU -145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CLEM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CLEM +8 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | CLEM -0.6 (+7.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLEM -0.6 (+7.4) | 147.4 (-7.4) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLEM -1.5 (+6.5) | 147.2 (-7.2) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CLEM -2.3 (+5.7) | 148.9 (-8.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLEM -1.5 (+6.5) | 150.0 (-10.0) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CLEM | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-9 |
| Home | 12-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.4 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 11.7 (#30) | 11.1 (#34) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.53 (#2) | 2.17 (#37) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.58 (#1) | 2.56 (#49) |
| RPI | 0.721 (#1) | 0.490 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CLEM | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 53.5% |
| 3PT% | 41.0% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 37.6 | 39.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.71 | 1.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 58.6% |
| TOV% | 14.5% | 16.9% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 36.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.2% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 24.5% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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