Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | ECU +185 SC -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ECU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +6 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | SC -8.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-11.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -6.8 (+0.8) | 137.6 (-7.6) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -5.9 (-0.1) | 140.0 (-10.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -5.5 (-0.5) | 139.1 (-9.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -4.2 (-1.8) | 137.0 (-7.0) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 7, 2024 | SC 75 – 68 ECU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | ECU 64 – 56 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ECU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 26-8 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 13-5 |
| Home | 11-9 | 14-3 |
| Away | 3-7 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.6 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#271) | 8.6 (#52) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#251) | 3.58 (#7) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#234) | 5.27 (#7) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#269) | 0.659 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ECU | SC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 1.49 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 37.9% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 70.7% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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