Everybody's in despair, every girl and boy. "Quinn the Eskimo" - Bob Dylan
South Carolina Gamecocks
56 64
FINAL Neutral Greenville Classic
East Carolina Pirates
Bon Secours Wellness Arena (Neutral) · December 17, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread SC -1.5 Away covered
O/U 135.5 Under
Money SC -110 / ECU +120
Model Predictions
Spread Total SC win
Actual ECU +8 120 Lost
Massey ECU -6.3 (-1.7)
Massey Totals 132.0 (-12.0)
Bradley-Terry 46%
Weighted B-T 33%
Baseline Plus ML ECU -3.4 (-4.6) 135.2 (-15.2) 35%
Baseline ML ECU -3.1 (-4.9) 136.0 (-16.0) 37%
Baseline Tuned ML ECU -2.7 (-5.3) 135.0 (-15.0) 41%
Efficiency Plus ML ECU -3.6 (-4.4) 134.3 (-14.3) 38%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Dec 7, 2024 SC 7568 ECU
Dec 9, 2023 SC 6862 ECU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SC ECU
Overall 11-21 16-17
Conference 4-14 6-12
Home 7-8 10-6
Away 4-8 2-9
Neutral 0-5 4-2
Last 5 3-2 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 64.3 68.8
Avg Pts Against 72.6 70.5
Massey -8.3 (#310) -2.0 (#216)
Bradley-Terry -0.18 (#200) -0.04 (#182)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.74 (#233) -0.02 (#185)
RPI 0.488 (#199) 0.474 (#220)
Shooting & Four Factors SC ECU
FG% 40.8% 43.9%
3PT% 33.5% 33.0%
REB / G 34.9 36.6
OREB / G 12.3 12.0
AST / TO 0.90 1.08
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 47.4% 51.1%
TOV% 20.0% 18.9%
ORB% 33.8% 34.8%
FT Rate 14.9% 28.4%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.4% 50.0%
Opp TOV% 17.1% 17.0%
DRB% 69.3% 72.5%
Opp FT Rate 13.7% 24.8%

Game Analysis

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