Betting Lines
| Spread | SC -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | SC -750 ECU +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SC +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | SC -11.8 (-4.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.8 (+6.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SC -10.9 (-3.9) | 140.1 (+2.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SC -11.2 (-4.2) | 140.3 (+2.7) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SC -10.9 (-3.9) | 139.8 (+3.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SC -11.7 (-4.7) | 142.5 (+0.5) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | SC 68 – 62 ECU |
| Dec 17, 2022 | ECU 64 – 56 SC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SC | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 2-16 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Away | 1-10 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 73.9 |
| Massey | 6.1 (#78) | -0.9 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.70 (#114) | -0.27 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.02 (#115) | -0.95 (#231) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#103) | 0.488 (#187) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SC | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 27.7% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 37.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 13.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.23 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 35.4% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 30.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.5% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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