Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | AMCC -125 OMA +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMCC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +4 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | AMCC -2.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.9 (-28.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 33% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -4.6 (-0.6) | 139.5 (-19.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -2.1 (+1.9) | 143.5 (-23.5) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -1.9 (+2.1) | 143.9 (-23.9) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -1.1 (+2.9) | 142.2 (-22.2) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 12, 2021 | AMCC 87 – 73 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMCC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 7-9 |
| Home | 13-2 | 11-3 |
| Away | 8-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -7.2 (#305) | -4.0 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.36 (#330) | -1.25 (#283) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.59 (#336) | -1.41 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.408 (#304) | 0.444 (#262) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMCC | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.2% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 27.6% | 31.1% |
| REB / G | 38.5 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.3% | 46.2% |
| TOV% | 21.4% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 32.5% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 27.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 36.6% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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