Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +14 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -10.1 (-3.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 0% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -8.2 (-5.8) | 141.0 (+19.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -8.6 (-5.4) | 141.7 (+18.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -8.7 (-5.3) | 140.0 (+20.0) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -8.0 (-6.0) | 141.4 (+18.6) | 16% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 9, 2023 | AMCC 62 – 58 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 7-7 |
| Home | 5-9 | 9-4 |
| Away | 0-15 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 7-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -15.7 (#351) | -0.7 (#192) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.52 (#348) | 1.93 (#51) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.24 (#351) | 2.42 (#58) |
| RPI | 0.377 (#335) | 0.538 (#115) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.4% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 25.2% |
| REB / G | 30.5 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 14.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.0% | 45.3% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 21.0% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 37.0% |
| FT Rate | 16.7% | 30.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.4% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 25.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.3% | 28.5% |
Game Analysis
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