Anger is an energy. "Rise" - Public Image Ltd.
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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49–30 on winners spread MAE 8.9 79 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Canisius @ Siena +5.3 136.2 73% 76–75 ✗
Charlotte @ Marshall +13.3 143.3 88% 67–75 ✓
Florida Gulf Coast @ North Alabama -1.6 135.2 42% 81–96 ✗
Ball State @ Toledo +12.7 155.0 86% 70–89 ✓
Eastern Michigan @ Western Michigan +3.1 139.8 65% 64–63 ✗
Hawai'i @ UC Davis +1.1 145.3 56% 73–68 ✗
UC Riverside @ Cal State Northridge -8.3 146.7 22% 72–68 ✓
UC Irvine @ Long Beach State -9.4 145.5 18% 71–68 ✓
Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky +10.0 140.9 81% 71–69 ✗
UAB @ North Texas +6.4 129.4 74% 65–51 ✗
Samford @ Mercer +7.9 151.2 78% 59–87 ✓
Jacksonville State @ Belmont +6.1 146.3 75% 69–72 ✓
Georgia Tech @ Wake Forest -7.3 140.6 23% 75–63 ✓
Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley +3.2 131.1 63% 65–47 ✗
Arkansas-Pine Bluff @ Mississippi Valley State -9.1 138.5 19% 82–59 ✓
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego +1.0 152.0 54% 85–89 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +20.1 132.6 90% 57–71 ✓
Little Rock @ App State -0.5 134.1 48% 60–67 ✗
New Mexico State @ Utah Tech -7.4 138.0 25% 76–66 ✓
Colorado State @ Nevada -1.5 143.3 41% 82–85 ✗
San Francisco @ Loyola Marymount +0.1 139.7 53% 66–70 ✓
Valparaiso @ Missouri State +8.1 134.7 80% 55–66 ✓
Troy @ UT Arlington +3.5 132.1 65% 91–86 ✗
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +7.4 138.8 78% 59–55 ✗
Seattle U @ California Baptist +3.1 146.1 63% 80–79 ✗
Eastern Kentucky @ Morehead State +1.0 141.9 55% 64–67 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pacific +2.4 136.6 59% 81–76 ✗
Florida State @ Notre Dame -4.5 153.4 29% 73–83 ✗
South Carolina @ Kentucky +7.6 147.9 80% 64–92 ✓
Loyola Maryland @ Navy +7.5 135.8 79% 76–68 ✗
Sacred Heart @ Bryant +9.9 154.3 85% 55–85 ✓
The Citadel @ UNC Greensboro +8.3 151.2 80% 72–80 ✓
Georgetown @ UConn +9.2 135.9 81% 82–98 ✓
Rutgers @ Minnesota +0.9 141.3 53% 77–70 ✗
Pittsburgh @ Clemson +6.6 130.2 77% 62–77 ✓
Indiana State @ Loyola Chicago +8.2 126.0 78% 49–65 ✓
South Florida @ Wichita State +11.1 140.7 88% 63–80 ✓
Mississippi State @ Auburn +3.3 144.2 65% 71–78 ✓
Boston University @ Colgate +17.4 150.8 90% 69–77 ✓
Sacramento State @ Montana State +3.5 144.0 66% 74–73 ✗
Oklahoma State @ West Virginia +6.4 153.5 74% 85–80 ✗
Alabama @ Georgia -6.7 160.7 26% 89–79 ✓
Indiana @ Purdue +7.2 136.2 76% 58–67 ✓
Arizona State @ Utah +4.7 147.1 67% 59–98 ✓
UMass Lowell @ UMBC +6.2 136.1 78% 79–77 ✗
Charlotte @ Marshall +13.4 143.2 88% 66–75 ✓
Bucknell @ Lafayette +4.1 155.1 68% 92–84 ✗
Mount St. Mary's @ Wagner +3.8 131.1 67% 66–60 ✗
Villanova @ Providence -2.2 140.8 37% 52–54 ✗
East Tennessee State @ Chattanooga -1.3 134.2 46% 63–53 ✓
Central Arkansas @ Northwestern State +2.8 155.9 64% 70–79 ✓
LSU @ Missouri +2.3 158.8 61% 86–80 ✗
Towson @ Elon +3.0 136.6 61% 48–69 ✓
American University @ Army +5.5 137.5 72% 66–89 ✓
Southern Utah @ Portland State -2.0 143.4 36% 73–54 ✓
Alcorn State @ Prairie View A&M +11.1 136.6 87% 69–81 ✓
Illinois @ Ohio State +0.6 154.2 53% 73–68 ✗
Virginia @ Louisville -0.3 129.7 49% 68–58 ✓
Hartford @ Vermont +8.2 136.7 82% 71–65 ✗
Missouri State @ Drake +3.7 142.4 65% 69–71 ✓
USC @ UCLA -0.3 139.3 49% 64–63 ✓
Incarnate Word @ Abilene Christian +17.7 135.9 91% 60–85 ✓
Southern @ Texas Southern +6.3 144.1 76% 74–80 ✓
Texas A&M @ Arkansas +16.3 140.0 90% 80–87 ✓
Butler @ Creighton +12.0 135.4 87% 73–93 ✓
Morgan State @ Delaware State -13.1 156.9 14% 75–82 ✗
Iowa State @ Kansas State +2.8 134.4 66% 56–61 ✓
Old Dominion @ Western Kentucky +9.9 140.9 81% 57–60 ✓
UAB @ North Texas +5.9 128.9 72% 65–61 ✗
Lamar @ McNeese -0.2 143.7 48% 60–51 ✓
Mercer @ Wofford +0.4 142.8 50% 62–61 ✗
South Alabama @ Louisiana +0.8 144.5 53% 68–79 ✓
Saint Louis @ St. Bonaventure +1.2 132.6 56% 53–71 ✓
Duke @ North Carolina +6.7 148.9 76% 73–91 ✓
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi @ Houston Christian +5.2 143.4 70% 94–70 ✗
Stephen F. Austin @ Sam Houston +3.4 151.0 69% 64–59 ✗
Arkansas State @ Georgia State +6.1 145.5 74% 68–71 ✓
Alabama State @ Jackson State +10.8 129.7 86% 54–79 ✓
Omaha @ South Dakota State +12.7 152.4 86% 71–84 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.