And the sound that I'm hearing is only the sound of the low spark of high heeled boys. "The Low Spark of High Heeled Boys" - Traffic
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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33–8 on winners spread MAE 7.2 41 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Vanderbilt @ Ole Miss +7.2 135.6 77% 46–56 ✓
UNC Wilmington @ William & Mary -4.0 146.3 34% 60–73 ✗
Seton Hall @ St. John's +2.0 153.1 59% 71–81 ✓
Hawai'i @ UC Davis +0.2 145.4 51% 66–74 ✓
UC Riverside @ Cal State Northridge -6.8 146.3 23% 66–65 ✓
UC Irvine @ Long Beach State -7.7 144.8 20% 73–58 ✓
VMI @ Furman +5.7 151.8 72% 91–90 ✗
Morehead State @ Belmont +3.6 136.9 64% 86–71 ✗
SE Louisiana @ LSU New Orleans +7.9 150.8 79% 76–81 ✓
Tarleton State @ UT Rio Grande Valley +0.4 129.8 55% 69–58 ✗
Cal State Fullerton @ UC San Diego +1.2 154.4 55% 78–85 ✓
Cal Poly @ UC Santa Barbara +19.0 131.4 90% 54–70 ✓
Troy @ Coastal Carolina +7.5 136.1 78% 68–86 ✓
New Mexico State @ Utah Tech -7.2 138.8 23% 68–56 ✓
Loyola Marymount @ Saint Mary's +2.3 128.8 58% 47–52 ✓
App State @ Texas State +3.2 128.0 66% 76–73 ✗
Davidson @ VCU +4.3 134.5 69% 52–64 ✓
Xavier @ Marquette +1.0 141.5 55% 59–66 ✓
Utah Valley @ Grand Canyon +5.3 133.3 74% 64–74 ✓
Seattle U @ California Baptist +2.3 147.1 62% 76–79 ✓
Alabama A&M @ Grambling +4.5 129.3 68% 72–80 ✓
Western Illinois @ South Dakota +7.7 152.0 79% 69–86 ✓
Utah State @ Fresno State -8.0 134.0 22% 57–51 ✓
UNLV @ Wyoming +1.9 145.2 61% 69–80 ✓
Santa Clara @ Pepperdine +2.6 147.2 58% 70–78 ✓
Delaware @ Hofstra +2.0 139.3 59% 75–83 ✓
Memphis @ Houston +11.5 135.2 85% 64–67 ✓
Florida @ Tennessee +4.8 137.6 68% 54–65 ✓
Campbell @ Winthrop +13.9 142.1 87% 53–80 ✓
Wisconsin @ Iowa +8.7 147.5 80% 73–77 ✓
Cincinnati @ East Carolina +0.9 137.9 55% 82–69 ✗
Nebraska @ Northwestern +7.1 140.9 74% 78–79 ✓
North Alabama @ Liberty +11.8 137.3 85% 75–79 ✓
Drake @ Loyola Chicago +3.5 130.8 62% 65–75 ✓
Elon @ James Madison +5.6 141.0 73% 72–71 ✗
Texas Tech @ Baylor +10.5 143.8 84% 73–88 ✓
Michigan @ Michigan State -6.1 136.4 24% 64–70 ✗
East Tennessee State @ UNC Greensboro +2.6 131.1 61% 65–77 ✓
William & Mary @ Northeastern +6.8 138.1 76% 47–63 ✓
Louisiana @ Georgia State +2.5 151.1 60% 73–84 ✓
North Dakota @ Oral Roberts +8.1 153.9 77% 65–76 ✓

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.