Betting Lines
| Spread | NMSU -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | UTU +750 NMSU -900 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NMSU +12 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | NMSU -9.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.0 (-16.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NMSU -9.3 (-2.7) | 136.2 (-12.2) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NMSU -7.2 (-4.8) | 138.8 (-14.8) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NMSU -7.2 (-4.8) | 138.5 (-14.5) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NMSU -8.9 (-3.1) | 137.7 (-13.7) | 20% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 10, 2024 | NMSU 75 – 63 UTU |
| Jan 22, 2023 | UTU 89 – 76 NMSU |
| Feb 17, 2022 | NMSU 75 – 64 UTU |
| Feb 11, 2022 | NMSU 77 – 69 UTU |
| Mar 6, 2021 | NMSU 76 – 66 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-13 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 7-6 |
| Home | 5-7 | 3-2 |
| Away | 3-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.2 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#329) | -0.2 (#170) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.92 (#316) | -1.13 (#260) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.62 (#320) | -1.07 (#249) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#306) | 0.458 (#246) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 13.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 24.9% | 36.5% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.