Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | TENN -225 FLA +230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +11 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -4.0 (+7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.0 (-15.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -4.8 (+6.2) | 137.6 (-18.6) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -4.1 (+6.9) | 134.2 (-15.2) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -5.1 (+5.9) | 135.5 (-16.5) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -5.0 (+6.0) | 136.8 (-17.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | FLA 91 – 67 TENN |
| Mar 16, 2025 | FLA 86 – 77 TENN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | TENN 64 – 44 FLA |
| Jan 8, 2025 | FLA 73 – 43 TENN |
| Jan 16, 2024 | TENN 85 – 66 FLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-9 | 15-10 |
| Conference | 10-7 | 9-7 |
| Home | 13-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 4-4 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.9 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.5 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 14.8 (#15) | 13.3 (#28) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.08 (#37) | 2.07 (#38) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.70 (#35) | 2.72 (#33) |
| RPI | 0.564 (#59) | 0.584 (#36) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 31.0% |
| FT Rate | 27.3% | 25.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 47.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.7% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 68.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.4% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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