Betting Lines
| Spread | VCU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | VCU -110 DAV +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | VCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +12 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | VCU -3.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-18.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | VCU -4.3 (+7.7) | 134.5 (-18.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | VCU -2.8 (+9.2) | 130.1 (-14.1) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | VCU -3.8 (+8.2) | 134.3 (-18.3) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | VCU -4.6 (+7.4) | 134.1 (-18.1) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | VCU 75 – 69 DAV |
| Mar 1, 2025 | VCU 80 – 56 DAV |
| Jan 28, 2024 | VCU 63 – 58 DAV |
| Mar 9, 2023 | VCU 71 – 53 DAV |
| Feb 1, 2023 | VCU 61 – 59 DAV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | VCU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-7 | 13-9 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 7-4 |
| Home | 12-2 | 7-4 |
| Away | 5-3 | 4-2 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.0 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 64.8 |
| Massey | 10.5 (#46) | 9.4 (#58) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.01 (#44) | 1.12 (#85) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.52 (#45) | 1.75 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#21) | 0.518 (#136) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | VCU | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 56.5% |
| TOV% | 21.0% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 26.4% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.2% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 24.3% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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