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Baseline Tuned — Schedule
Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.
6–4 on winners
spread MAE 7.6
10 games
| Matchup | Spread | Total | Home win | Result | Pick |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Texas
@
TCU
|
-6.2 | 140.5 | 29% | 76–64 | ✓ |
Penn State
@
Maryland
|
+5.3 | 139.1 | 74% | 66–61 | ✗ |
Mercer
@
VMI
|
-1.8 | 153.3 | 43% | 73–59 | ✓ |
Oregon
@
Oregon State
|
-1.1 | 135.7 | 46% | 80–67 | ✓ |
App State
@
Coastal Carolina
|
+3.5 | 139.2 | 65% | 64–61 | ✗ |
Drexel
@
Charleston
|
-4.7 | 138.0 | 34% | 80–75 | ✓ |
Kansas City
@
North Dakota State
|
+3.1 | 126.3 | 63% | 65–69 | ✓ |
Elon
@
Hofstra
|
+1.4 | 138.3 | 55% | 76–58 | ✗ |
Milwaukee
@
Cleveland State
|
+3.0 | 146.7 | 64% | 65–71 | ✓ |
Oral Roberts
@
South Dakota State
|
+3.5 | 159.2 | 65% | 90–88 | ✗ |
Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.