South Dakota State
Jackrabbits
88
–
90
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Summit League
Oral Roberts
Golden Eagles
Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | SDST -175 ORU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +2 | 178 | Lost |
| Massey | SDST -3.3 (-5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.9 (+12.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -3.5 (-5.5) | 159.2 (+18.8) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -2.1 (-4.1) | 156.9 (+21.1) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -2.6 (-4.6) | 159.8 (+18.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -3.5 (-5.5) | 158.2 (+19.8) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 15, 2026 | SDST 87 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 31, 2026 | SDST 95 – 72 ORU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SDST 77 – 69 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | SDST 84 – 70 ORU |
| Mar 10, 2024 | SDST 79 – 63 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-7 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 10-5 |
| Home | 8-1 | 8-3 |
| Away | 4-2 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 4-4 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.9 | 78.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 77.2 |
| Massey | 3.6 (#115) | 0.3 (#160) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#140) | -0.70 (#227) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#157) | -0.67 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#105) | 0.519 (#134) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.3% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 38.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 33.7 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 8.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.7% | 53.1% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 22.4% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 27.6% | 22.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 78.6% | 67.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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