Coastal Carolina
Chanticleers
61
–
64
OT
FINAL
Neutral
Sun Belt Conference Championship
App State
Mountaineers
Betting Lines
| Spread | CCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | CCU -188 APP +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APP +3 | 125 | Lost |
| Massey | CCU -4.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.9 (-14.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 65% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCU -3.5 (-6.5) | 139.2 (-14.2) | 65% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CCU -3.3 (-6.3) | 138.3 (-13.3) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCU -2.8 (-5.8) | 138.7 (-13.7) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CCU -3.4 (-6.4) | 138.9 (-13.9) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2026 | CCU 67 – 62 APP |
| Dec 18, 2025 | APP 67 – 49 CCU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | APP 64 – 46 CCU |
| Jan 8, 2025 | APP 74 – 51 CCU |
| Jan 20, 2024 | APP 88 – 59 CCU |
Game Analysis
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