Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -250 ELON +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ELON +18 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -3.6 (-21.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (-4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -1.4 (-19.4) | 138.3 (-4.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -2.1 (-20.1) | 134.3 (-0.3) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -1.2 (-19.2) | 137.2 (-3.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -1.4 (-19.4) | 137.8 (-3.8) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | ELON 89 – 85 HOF |
| Jan 31, 2025 | HOF 74 – 63 ELON |
| Feb 25, 2024 | HOF 87 – 64 ELON |
| Jan 27, 2023 | HOF 82 – 65 ELON |
| Feb 25, 2022 | ELON 81 – 55 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 10-9 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 4-7 |
| Home | 7-3 | 4-2 |
| Away | 5-6 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 65.7 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#156) | -3.2 (#219) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.31 (#146) | -0.22 (#193) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.27 (#156) | -0.60 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.535 (#102) | 0.496 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | ELON |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 29.9% | 23.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 19.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.9% | 77.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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