Betting Lines
| Spread | NDSU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 118.5 Over |
| Money | NDSU -175 KC +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NDSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NDSU +4 | 134 | Won |
| Massey | NDSU -4.1 (-0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 115.3 (+18.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NDSU -3.1 (+0.9) | 126.3 (+7.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NDSU -3.7 (+0.3) | 123.5 (+10.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NDSU -3.2 (+0.8) | 127.1 (+6.9) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NDSU -2.9 (+1.1) | 127.3 (+6.7) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | NDSU 95 – 59 KC |
| Jan 9, 2026 | NDSU 97 – 73 KC |
| Feb 7, 2025 | NDSU 78 – 72 KC |
| Jan 17, 2025 | NDSU 71 – 64 KC |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NDSU 82 – 78 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NDSU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 11-13 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 6-2 | 8-3 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 0.2 (#161) | -3.9 (#234) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.51 (#214) | -1.55 (#293) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#207) | -1.85 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#185) | 0.437 (#283) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NDSU | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.83 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 21.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.8% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 80.6% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 39.4% |
Game Analysis
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