Betting Lines
| Spread | DREX -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | COFC +188 DREX -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +5 | 155 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -5.5 (+0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.2 (+22.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -4.7 (-0.3) | 138.0 (+17.0) | 34% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -3.6 (-1.4) | 132.4 (+22.6) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -4.0 (-1.0) | 136.5 (+18.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -3.7 (-1.3) | 136.9 (+18.1) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 30, 2025 | COFC 72 – 63 DREX |
| Feb 22, 2025 | DREX 64 – 55 COFC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | COFC 80 – 70 DREX |
| Feb 3, 2023 | DREX 70 – 69 COFC |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DREX 80 – 79 COFC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 6-4 | 4-5 |
| Home | 8-6 | 3-2 |
| Away | 1-3 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.8 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -3.8 (#231) | 1.7 (#137) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.62 (#223) | 0.09 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#224) | 0.13 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#259) | 0.498 (#170) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 47.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 24.0% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 76.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.5% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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