Betting Lines
| Spread | COFC -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | COFC -440 DREX +340 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COFC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | COFC +9 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | COFC -10.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COFC -7.3 (+1.7) | 143.1 (-8.1) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COFC -7.6 (+1.4) | 141.8 (-6.8) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COFC -7.7 (+1.3) | 141.1 (-6.1) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | COFC -7.1 (+1.9) | 141.9 (-6.9) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | DREX 64 – 55 COFC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | COFC 80 – 70 DREX |
| Feb 3, 2023 | DREX 70 – 69 COFC |
| Feb 26, 2022 | DREX 80 – 79 COFC |
| Feb 15, 2022 | COFC 79 – 75 DREX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COFC | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-11 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 8-4 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.9 | 67.6 |
| Massey | -1.5 (#190) | -7.9 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#171) | -1.72 (#305) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#164) | -2.37 (#302) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#200) | 0.384 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COFC | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.7% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 15.4% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 32.9% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.7% | 30.9% |
Game Analysis
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