Betting Lines
| Spread | ORE -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | ORST +220 ORE -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORE +13 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | ORE -4.4 (-8.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (+10.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORE -1.1 (-11.9) | 135.7 (+11.3) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORE -1.5 (-11.5) | 133.4 (+13.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORE -1.3 (-11.7) | 135.8 (+11.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORE -0.9 (-12.1) | 135.7 (+11.3) | 51% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Nov 18, 2025 | ORE 87 – 75 ORST |
| Nov 22, 2024 | ORE 78 – 75 ORST |
| Feb 29, 2024 | ORE 78 – 71 ORST |
| Feb 18, 2024 | ORE 60 – 58 ORST |
| Feb 26, 2023 | ORE 69 – 67 ORST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORST | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 21-7 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 14-4 |
| Home | 10-6 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-6 | 7-2 |
| Neutral | 6-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 66.0 |
| Massey | 4.5 (#107) | 11.4 (#36) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#95) | 2.32 (#26) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.57 (#81) | 2.84 (#31) |
| RPI | 0.517 (#140) | 0.589 (#29) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORST | ORE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 49.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.4% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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