Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | TCU +300 TEX -300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +12 | 140 | Lost |
| Massey | TEX -8.6 (-3.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-2.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -6.2 (-5.8) | 140.5 (-0.5) | 29% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -7.1 (-4.9) | 138.1 (+1.9) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -6.4 (-5.6) | 138.4 (+1.6) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -6.6 (-5.4) | 138.9 (+1.1) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2024 | TEX 77 – 66 TCU |
| Mar 11, 2023 | TEX 66 – 60 TCU |
| Mar 2, 2023 | TCU 75 – 73 TEX |
| Jan 12, 2023 | TEX 79 – 75 TCU |
| Mar 10, 2022 | TCU 65 – 60 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TCU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-14 | 19-8 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 11-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-5 |
| Away | 3-6 | 6-2 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 65.8 |
| Massey | 2.1 (#135) | 13.2 (#27) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.39 (#69) | 2.78 (#14) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.28 (#92) | 3.64 (#10) |
| RPI | 0.536 (#99) | 0.600 (#20) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TCU | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 39.2 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 30.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 24.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 46.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.8% |
Game Analysis
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