Twenty-one years in captivity / His shoes too small to fit his feet "Nelson Mandela" - The Specials
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Baseline Tuned — Schedule

Day by day: what this model predicted, and how it turned out. Past days show the leakage-free pre-game predictions recorded at evaluation time.

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8–5 on winners spread MAE 11.1 13 games
Matchup Spread Total Home win Result Pick
Rider @ Canisius +4.8 142.3 71% 78–76 ✗
App State @ Georgia State +3.9 143.0 67% 80–73 ✗
Mercer @ UNC Greensboro +2.4 143.1 61% 61–69 ✓
Saint Mary's @ Gonzaga +15.8 141.9 87% 55–78 ✓
Drexel @ Northeastern -0.1 132.4 49% 74–67 ✓
Northern Kentucky @ Oakland -2.7 150.9 40% 58–69 ✗
North Dakota State @ South Dakota -0.3 142.4 49% 79–75 ✓
Pepperdine @ BYU +9.9 148.5 82% 77–82 ✓
Miami @ Pittsburgh +5.1 136.7 69% 79–73 ✗
Boston College @ Duke +7.7 154.0 80% 51–86 ✓
Iona @ Quinnipiac -4.7 142.6 31% 72–48 ✓
McNeese @ SE Louisiana +0.2 145.2 53% 68–71 ✓
Long Beach State @ Cal State Northridge +1.6 152.5 58% 85–63 ✗

Pre-game predictions recorded from rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Spread is the predicted home margin; Result is away–home. Not betting advice.