I remember one night the kid cut off his right arm in a bid to save a bit of power. "So It Goes" - Nick Lowe
Cal State Northridge Matadors
63 – 85
FINAL Neutral Conference Big West Conference
Long Beach State Beach
Big West Conference · Michelob ULTRA Arena (Neutral) · March 9, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread CSUN -2.5 Away covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money CSUN -138 / LBSU +140
Model Predictions
Spread Total CSUN win
Actual LBSU +22 148 Lost
Massey CSUN -1.6 (-23.6) — —
Massey Totals — 160.5 (-12.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 62% ✗
Weighted B-T — — 65% ✗
Baseline Tuned ML CSUN -1.6 (-23.6) 152.5 (-4.5) 58% ✗
Efficiency Plus ML ★ CSUN -2.0 (-24.0) 151.2 (-3.2) 64% ✗
Baseline Plus ML CSUN -2.8 (-24.8) 152.3 (-4.3) 61% ✗
Baseline ML CSUN -2.1 (-24.1) 151.9 (-3.9) 56% ✗

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 22, 2026 CSUN 78 – 76 LBSU
Jan 18, 2026 LBSU 87 – 80 CSUN
Feb 9, 2025 CSUN 81 – 80 LBSU
Jan 24, 2025 CSUN 86 – 76 LBSU
Feb 18, 2024 LBSU 87 – 73 CSUN

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CSUN LBSU
Overall 9-13 6-12
Conference 5-9 4-8
Home 4-7 4-3
Away 4-4 1-8
Neutral 1-2 1-1
Last 5 2-3 1-4
Streak L3 L1
Avg Pts For 70.9 73.8
Avg Pts Against 77.6 79.4
Massey -7.4 (#277) -9.1 (#299)
Bradley-Terry -0.76 (#237) -1.23 (#268)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.05 (#248) -1.69 (#282)
RPI 0.440 (#273) 0.412 (#319)
Shooting & Four Factors CSUN LBSU
FG% 42.8% 43.8%
3PT% 34.6% 34.6%
REB / G 32.4 34.4
OREB / G 8.8 7.8
AST / TO 1.11 0.71
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.3% 49.7%
TOV% 16.6% 21.1%
ORB% 24.0% 22.0%
FT Rate 22.8% 27.1%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.1% 50.2%
Opp TOV% 18.2% 17.7%
DRB% 71.8% 68.3%
Opp FT Rate 25.2% 23.5%

Game Analysis

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