Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -19.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
| Money | GONZ -2400 SMC +1200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +23 | 133 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -17.7 (+5.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-9.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -15.8 (+7.2) | 141.9 (-8.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -14.4 (+8.6) | 140.0 (-7.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -16.1 (+6.9) | 143.3 (-10.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -16.1 (+6.9) | 141.6 (-8.6) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SMC 70 – 59 GONZ |
| Feb 1, 2026 | GONZ 73 – 65 SMC |
| Mar 12, 2025 | GONZ 58 – 51 SMC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SMC 74 – 67 GONZ |
| Feb 2, 2025 | SMC 62 – 58 GONZ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-1 | 14-10 |
| Conference | 15-0 | 4-6 |
| Home | 12-0 | 9-3 |
| Away | 7-0 | 2-3 |
| Neutral | 12-1 | 3-4 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 91.0 | 64.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 24.6 (#1) | 6.9 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.47 (#1) | 1.68 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 7.16 (#1) | 1.98 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.657 (#1) | 0.578 (#46) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | SMC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 55.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.52 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 61.1% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 26.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.1% | 20.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 78.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.8% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.