Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | QUIN +260 IONA -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | QUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +24 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | IONA -5.6 (-18.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.9 (-20.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -4.7 (-19.3) | 142.6 (-22.6) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -4.9 (-19.1) | 141.8 (-21.8) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -4.2 (-19.8) | 144.2 (-24.2) | 33% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -4.0 (-20.0) | 143.1 (-23.1) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | QUIN 89 – 68 IONA |
| Mar 14, 2025 | IONA 81 – 73 QUIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | QUIN 79 – 74 IONA |
| Jan 12, 2025 | QUIN 63 – 62 IONA |
| Mar 2, 2024 | QUIN 82 – 64 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 12-6 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 6-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-2 |
| Away | 1-5 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 66.1 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#251) | 0.6 (#150) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#242) | 0.04 (#169) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#235) | 0.01 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#269) | 0.514 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | QUIN | IONA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.6 | 11.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 52.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 21.2% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 26.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.9% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.2% | 34.3% |
Game Analysis
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