Betting Lines
| Spread | CAN -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | CAN -250 RID +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CAN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | CAN -5.2 (-7.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+7.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CAN -4.8 (-6.8) | 142.3 (+11.7) | 71% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -4.8 (-6.8) | 140.9 (+13.1) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CAN -4.4 (-6.4) | 143.5 (+10.5) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CAN -4.5 (-6.5) | 143.3 (+10.7) | 69% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CAN 72 – 66 RID |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RID 78 – 50 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CAN 85 – 67 RID |
| Mar 3, 2024 | RID 65 – 61 CAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | RID 79 – 76 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-6 | 6-17 |
| Conference | 7-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 3-1 | 1-8 |
| Away | 4-4 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 74.0 |
| Massey | -3.0 (#215) | -8.1 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.35 (#141) | -1.36 (#279) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#171) | -1.55 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.567 (#55) | 0.442 (#270) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CAN | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.7% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 47.8% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 52.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 17.3% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.6% |
Game Analysis
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