Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
| Money | NE +100 DREX +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DREX +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | DREX -0.7 (-6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DREX -0.1 (-6.9) | 132.4 (+8.6) | 49% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DREX -1.0 (-6.0) | 129.4 (+11.6) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DREX -1.2 (-5.8) | 131.7 (+9.3) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DREX -0.2 (-6.8) | 133.6 (+7.4) | 47% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | DREX 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 20, 2026 | DREX 70 – 61 NE |
| Jan 24, 2026 | DREX 83 – 78 NE |
| Jan 24, 2025 | NE 70 – 61 DREX |
| Mar 2, 2024 | DREX 73 – 59 NE |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 4-5 |
| Home | 5-1 | 3-2 |
| Away | 4-7 | 4-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 70.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 67.4 |
| Massey | 0.9 (#148) | 1.6 (#139) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.61 (#121) | 0.15 (#158) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.47 (#137) | 0.18 (#158) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#61) | 0.503 (#164) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | DREX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 33.2 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 6.4 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.23 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.9% | 54.0% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 19.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 75.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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