Oakland
Golden Grizzlies
69
–
58
FINAL
Neutral
Conference
Progressive Insurance Horizon League
Northern Kentucky
Norse
Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | OAK +120 NKU -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | NKU -3.3 (+14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NKU -2.7 (+13.7) | 150.9 (-23.9) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NKU -2.7 (+13.7) | 147.5 (-20.5) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NKU -2.5 (+13.5) | 149.7 (-22.7) | 46% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NKU -2.1 (+13.1) | 148.0 (-21.0) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | NKU 85 – 84 OAK |
| Feb 1, 2026 | OAK 76 – 65 NKU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | OAK 82 – 77 NKU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NKU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Jan 11, 2025 | OAK 68 – 53 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-18 | 14-11 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-7 |
| Home | 5-4 | 9-4 |
| Away | 6-11 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 71.2 |
| Massey | -6.3 (#268) | -3.1 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.73 (#231) | -0.30 (#200) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.96 (#234) | -0.52 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#149) | 0.506 (#158) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.8% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 34.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.5% | 22.1% |
Game Analysis
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