Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 161.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -130 NKU +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +1 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -4.1 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.6 (+2.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -3.2 (-4.2) | 160.9 (+8.1) | 67% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -3.3 (-4.3) | 159.9 (+9.1) | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -3.4 (-4.4) | 158.8 (+10.2) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -3.0 (-4.0) | 159.7 (+9.3) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | OAK 76 – 65 NKU |
| Dec 18, 2025 | OAK 82 – 77 NKU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | NKU 84 – 75 OAK |
| Jan 11, 2025 | OAK 68 – 53 NKU |
| Feb 9, 2024 | NKU 99 – 89 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 10-10 |
| Home | 7-6 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -0.0 (#164) | -1.1 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#167) | -0.34 (#206) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.21 (#178) | -0.38 (#197) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#104) | 0.493 (#202) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.9% |
| REB / G | 34.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.8% |
| FT Rate | 29.3% | 25.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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