Betting Lines
| Spread | MCN -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SELA +125 MCN -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +3 | 139 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -0.9 (+2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -0.2 (+2.8) | 145.2 (-6.2) | 53% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -1.3 (+1.7) | 140.5 (-1.5) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MCN -0.1 (+3.1) | 146.6 (-7.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MCN -0.3 (+3.3) | 146.0 (-7.0) | 51% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 28, 2026 | MCN 76 – 66 SELA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | MCN 73 – 61 SELA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | MCN 88 – 82 SELA |
| Dec 31, 2024 | MCN 79 – 51 SELA |
| Feb 3, 2024 | SELA 77 – 74 MCN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-18 | 10-14 |
| Conference | 5-10 | 4-10 |
| Home | 3-4 | 7-5 |
| Away | 4-13 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 78.1 |
| Massey | -12.9 (#331) | -13.8 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.41 (#330) | -3.11 (#342) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.39 (#333) | -4.11 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#283) | 0.371 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | MCN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.62 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 53.2% |
| TOV% | 22.2% | 22.7% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.1% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 55.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.7% | 17.8% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.2% | 21.2% |
Game Analysis
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