Betting Lines
| Spread | HALL -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | SJU +138 HALL -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SJU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SJU +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SJU -0.4 (+9.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SJU -2.0 (+8.0) | 153.1 (-1.1) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SJU -0.9 (+9.1) | 150.2 (+1.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SJU -1.4 (+8.6) | 154.1 (-2.1) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SJU -1.6 (+8.4) | 153.6 (-1.6) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 13, 2026 | SJU 78 – 68 HALL |
| Mar 7, 2026 | SJU 72 – 65 HALL |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SJU 65 – 60 HALL |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SJU 71 – 61 HALL |
| Jan 19, 2025 | SJU 79 – 51 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SJU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-11 | 14-13 |
| Conference | 10-9 | 10-9 |
| Home | 11-3 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.7 | 69.7 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#75) | 9.8 (#56) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.61 (#59) | 1.64 (#57) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.20 (#57) | 2.31 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.533 (#107) | 0.558 (#71) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SJU | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.7% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.1% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 19.8% |
Game Analysis
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