Gaga googa ga ga googa ga ga goo ga ga "Night of the Thumpasaurus People" - Parliament
Big Ten Conference · Welsh-Ryan Arena · March 7, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread NU -6.5 Away covered
O/U 140.5 Over
Money NU -275 / NEB +275
Model Predictions
Spread Total NU win
Actual NU +1 157 Won
Massey NU -6.8 (-5.8) — —
Massey Totals — 140.5 (+16.5) —
Bradley-Terry — — 77% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 84% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML NU -7.1 (-6.1) 140.9 (+16.1) 74% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ NU -5.0 (-4.0) 141.9 (+15.1) 72% ✓
Baseline Plus ML NU -6.0 (-5.0) 142.2 (+14.8) 73% ✓
Baseline ML NU -6.4 (-5.4) 140.0 (+17.0) 73% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 14, 2026 NEB 68 – 49 NU
Jan 17, 2026 NEB 77 – 58 NU
Feb 16, 2025 NEB 68 – 64 NU
Feb 8, 2024 NU 80 – 68 NEB
Jan 20, 2024 NEB 75 – 69 NU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings NU NEB
Overall 9-15 7-20
Conference 6-13 3-16
Home 7-6 6-9
Away 2-8 1-10
Neutral 0-1 0-1
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 69.0 68.4
Avg Pts Against 71.0 74.6
Massey 8.0 (#71) 3.7 (#114)
Bradley-Terry 1.14 (#84) 0.34 (#148)
W. Bradley-Terry 2.00 (#61) 0.84 (#115)
RPI 0.480 (#208) 0.476 (#216)
Shooting & Four Factors NU NEB
FG% 43.3% 41.0%
3PT% 34.4% 33.0%
REB / G 32.6 36.0
OREB / G 6.7 8.8
AST / TO 1.20 0.90
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.3% 47.8%
TOV% 17.0% 19.5%
ORB% 19.6% 23.1%
FT Rate 20.3% 19.9%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.0% 49.6%
Opp TOV% 17.5% 18.1%
DRB% 74.0% 71.4%
Opp FT Rate 24.1% 20.5%

Game Analysis

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