Georgia State
Panthers
84
–
73
FINAL
Neutral
Sun Belt Conference Championship
Louisiana
Ragin' Cajuns
Betting Lines
| Spread | GAST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | GAST -175 UL +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GAST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GAST +11 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | GAST -2.8 (+8.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GAST -2.5 (+8.5) | 151.1 (+5.9) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GAST -1.6 (+9.4) | 150.1 (+6.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GAST -2.5 (+8.5) | 150.9 (+6.1) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GAST -2.4 (+8.6) | 148.9 (+8.1) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | UL 84 – 75 GAST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UL 82 – 72 GAST |
| Jan 5, 2025 | GAST 94 – 70 UL |
| Feb 8, 2024 | GAST 78 – 69 UL |
| Jan 8, 2023 | UL 78 – 70 GAST |
Game Analysis
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