Betting Lines
| Spread | FUR -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | FUR -400 VMI +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FUR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VMI +1 | 181 | Lost |
| Massey | FUR -6.3 (-7.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+27.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FUR -5.7 (-6.7) | 151.8 (+29.2) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FUR -4.3 (-5.3) | 150.4 (+30.6) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FUR -5.4 (-6.4) | 152.6 (+28.4) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FUR -5.2 (-6.2) | 151.8 (+29.2) | 73% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FUR 90 – 72 VMI |
| Jan 10, 2026 | FUR 69 – 48 VMI |
| Feb 22, 2025 | FUR 75 – 71 VMI |
| Jan 22, 2025 | VMI 91 – 82 FUR |
| Feb 15, 2024 | FUR 75 – 62 VMI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-9 | 13-12 |
| Conference | 10-5 | 7-7 |
| Home | 11-1 | 11-1 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 77.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.5 | 77.1 |
| Massey | 8.3 (#68) | 2.0 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.87 (#101) | -0.12 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.30 (#91) | 0.01 (#173) |
| RPI | 0.550 (#82) | 0.495 (#177) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FUR | VMI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 37.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.26 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 54.1% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 13.7% |
| DRB% | 72.5% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.2% | 16.8% |
Game Analysis
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