Somehow I stayed thin, while the other guys got fat "Rush" - Big Audio Dynamite
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles
76 – 65
FINAL Neutral Conference Summit League
North Dakota Fighting Hawks
Summit League · Sanford Pentagon (Neutral) · March 7, 2021
Betting Lines
Spread ORU -7.5 Home covered
O/U 153.5 Under
Money ORU -300 / UND +300
Model Predictions
Spread Total ORU win
Actual ORU +11 141 Won
Massey ORU -8.8 (+2.2) — —
Massey Totals — 154.9 (-13.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 83% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML ORU -8.1 (+2.9) 153.9 (-12.9) 77% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ ORU -6.0 (+5.0) 152.6 (-11.6) 71% ✓
Baseline Plus ML ORU -8.0 (+3.0) 155.5 (-14.5) 78% ✓
Baseline ML ORU -6.8 (+4.2) 154.3 (-13.3) 77% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 23, 2026 UND 79 – 62 ORU
Jan 1, 2026 UND 72 – 61 ORU
Feb 15, 2025 UND 88 – 77 ORU
Jan 12, 2025 ORU 83 – 79 UND
Feb 18, 2024 UND 78 – 65 ORU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings ORU UND
Overall 18-11 9-17
Conference 10-5 8-8
Home 8-3 5-3
Away 5-7 3-11
Neutral 5-1 1-3
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 78.9 68.7
Avg Pts Against 77.2 75.7
Massey 0.2 (#161) -8.6 (#292)
Bradley-Terry -0.80 (#241) -1.66 (#302)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.76 (#216) -2.35 (#308)
RPI 0.512 (#145) 0.429 (#293)
Shooting & Four Factors ORU UND
FG% 44.3% 42.9%
3PT% 38.9% 34.1%
REB / G 33.8 32.2
OREB / G 8.6 8.2
AST / TO 0.97 0.91
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.3% 49.6%
TOV% 16.1% 18.7%
ORB% 24.1% 23.3%
FT Rate 22.4% 24.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 50.8% 53.4%
Opp TOV% 17.9% 17.2%
DRB% 67.5% 72.8%
Opp FT Rate 23.1% 22.9%

Game Analysis

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