Betting Lines
| Spread | SDAK -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | SDAK -275 WIU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDAK +17 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | SDAK -9.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.1 (+1.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDAK -7.7 (+9.3) | 152.0 (+3.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDAK -6.5 (+10.5) | 148.6 (+6.4) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDAK -7.8 (+9.2) | 154.0 (+1.0) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDAK -6.9 (+10.1) | 151.2 (+3.8) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 14, 2024 | SDAK 89 – 66 WIU |
| Dec 3, 2023 | SDAK 70 – 68 WIU |
| Jan 27, 2023 | WIU 75 – 72 SDAK |
| Dec 31, 2022 | SDAK 80 – 63 WIU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | SDAK 78 – 65 WIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 7-15 |
| Conference | 11-4 | 5-9 |
| Home | 7-2 | 2-5 |
| Away | 5-4 | 4-9 |
| Neutral | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 80.5 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#177) | -9.9 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#219) | -2.15 (#322) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.87 (#225) | -2.59 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#206) | 0.395 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.9% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 38.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 15.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 21.9% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.0% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.4% | 16.3% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 76.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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