Betting Lines
| Spread | IOWA -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | IOWA -275 WIS +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IOWA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IOWA +4 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | IOWA -8.3 (-4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IOWA -8.7 (-4.7) | 147.5 (+2.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IOWA -6.6 (-2.6) | 145.7 (+4.3) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IOWA -9.6 (-5.6) | 146.6 (+3.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IOWA -9.4 (-5.4) | 146.4 (+3.6) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | WIS 84 – 71 IOWA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | WIS 74 – 63 IOWA |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WIS 116 – 85 IOWA |
| Feb 17, 2024 | IOWA 88 – 86 WIS |
| Jan 3, 2024 | WIS 83 – 72 IOWA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IOWA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-9 | 18-13 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 10-10 |
| Home | 14-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 6-4 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.7 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 64.6 |
| Massey | 20.1 (#4) | 14.3 (#19) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.93 (#7) | 2.23 (#30) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.12 (#6) | 3.22 (#19) |
| RPI | 0.580 (#41) | 0.549 (#83) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IOWA | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 39.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 40.6 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.5 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 2.04 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.3% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 13.2% | 13.3% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 23.9% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 21.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.1% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.5% | 18.2% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 75.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 20.5% |
Game Analysis
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