Betting Lines
| Spread | MISS -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | MISS -400 VAN +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MISS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MISS +10 | 102 | Won |
| Massey | MISS -7.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.1 (-33.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MISS -7.2 (+2.8) | 135.6 (-33.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MISS -6.4 (+3.6) | 131.9 (-29.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MISS -6.9 (+3.1) | 135.4 (-33.4) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MISS -7.5 (+2.5) | 135.6 (-33.6) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | VAN 89 – 86 MISS |
| Jan 31, 2026 | VAN 71 – 68 MISS |
| Feb 22, 2025 | VAN 77 – 72 MISS |
| Jan 13, 2024 | MISS 69 – 56 VAN |
| Feb 4, 2023 | VAN 74 – 71 MISS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MISS | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-12 | 9-16 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 3-13 |
| Home | 10-4 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.6 | 72.4 |
| Massey | 10.0 (#54) | 4.8 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#67) | 0.25 (#155) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.93 (#64) | 0.83 (#119) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#90) | 0.471 (#222) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MISS | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 12.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.91 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 20.4% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 34.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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