Betting Lines
| Spread | UCR -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | CSUN +350 UCR -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CSUN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCR +1 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UCR -10.5 (+9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-15.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 35% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCR -6.8 (+5.8) | 146.3 (-15.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCR -7.3 (+6.3) | 143.6 (-12.6) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCR -7.7 (+6.7) | 146.4 (-15.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCR -7.1 (+6.1) | 146.1 (-15.1) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | UCR 95 – 84 CSUN |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CSUN 88 – 74 UCR |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCR 94 – 79 CSUN |
| Dec 6, 2024 | UCR 68 – 64 CSUN |
| Feb 4, 2024 | CSUN 76 – 70 UCR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-13 | 14-8 |
| Conference | 5-9 | 8-4 |
| Home | 4-7 | 5-4 |
| Away | 4-4 | 7-3 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 70.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.6 | 63.6 |
| Massey | -7.8 (#280) | 5.2 (#95) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#226) | 0.38 (#140) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#242) | 0.80 (#121) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#261) | 0.494 (#178) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CSUN | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.6% | 46.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.2% | 54.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 18.4% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.8% | 14.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.9% | 45.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.2% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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