Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU +350 UCI -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +15 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -9.9 (-5.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.1 (-14.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -7.7 (-7.3) | 144.8 (-13.8) | 20% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -8.2 (-6.8) | 142.7 (-11.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.4 (-6.6) | 142.7 (-11.7) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -7.5 (-7.5) | 144.4 (-13.4) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-12 | 18-9 |
| Conference | 4-8 | 10-4 |
| Home | 4-3 | 10-1 |
| Away | 1-8 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.8 | 68.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 64.1 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#294) | 3.6 (#117) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#261) | 0.74 (#112) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#273) | 1.00 (#104) |
| RPI | 0.424 (#300) | 0.547 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.7% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 39.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 21.4% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 28.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 46.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 75.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 20.1% |
Game Analysis
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