Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -12.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | LIB -900 UNA +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +4 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -14.1 (-10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.2 (+18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -11.9 (-7.9) | 135.1 (+18.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -11.9 (-7.9) | 134.8 (+19.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -11.8 (-7.8) | 137.3 (+16.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -11.9 (-7.9) | 135.9 (+18.1) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2023 | LIB 72 – 54 UNA |
| Jan 28, 2022 | LIB 72 – 53 UNA |
| Feb 23, 2021 | LIB 74 – 54 UNA |
| Feb 22, 2021 | LIB 74 – 54 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-6 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 7-8 |
| Home | 13-0 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 5.8 (#90) | -8.3 (#287) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.88 (#100) | -1.16 (#264) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.18 (#97) | -1.50 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.541 (#91) | 0.452 (#257) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.3% | 41.4% |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 32.4% |
| REB / G | 32.3 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.7 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 47.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 22.7% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 77.3% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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