Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -2000 UNA +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +20 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -17.2 (+2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (-6.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -16.4 (+3.6) | 133.4 (-5.4) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -14.4 (+5.6) | 133.4 (-5.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -15.6 (+4.4) | 133.7 (-5.7) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -15.5 (+4.5) | 134.2 (-6.2) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2023 | LIB 72 – 54 UNA |
| Jan 28, 2022 | LIB 72 – 53 UNA |
| Mar 7, 2021 | LIB 79 – 75 UNA |
| Feb 22, 2021 | LIB 74 – 54 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-6 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 7-8 |
| Home | 13-0 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 5.0 (#103) | -9.8 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.65 (#120) | -1.60 (#295) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.96 (#111) | -1.99 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.516 (#137) | 0.429 (#289) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.4% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.3% | 46.4% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 19.8% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 74.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.8% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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