Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -15.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | LIB -1800 UNA +1300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +20 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | LIB -16.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (-6.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -16.2 (+3.8) | 136.1 (-8.1) | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -13.8 (+6.2) | 135.3 (-7.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -14.6 (+5.4) | 136.3 (-8.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -15.1 (+4.9) | 137.5 (-9.5) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 13, 2023 | LIB 72 – 54 UNA |
| Jan 28, 2022 | LIB 72 – 53 UNA |
| Mar 7, 2021 | LIB 79 – 75 UNA |
| Feb 23, 2021 | LIB 74 – 54 UNA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIB | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-6 | 13-11 |
| Conference | 11-2 | 7-8 |
| Home | 13-0 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-3 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.5 | 72.2 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#104) | -9.6 (#304) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#120) | -1.56 (#294) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.94 (#111) | -1.97 (#295) |
| RPI | 0.514 (#144) | 0.417 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIB | UNA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.3% | 40.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.5% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.43 | 0.64 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 23.5% | 27.2% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.1% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 20.5% |
| DRB% | 77.0% | 73.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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