Betting Lines
| Spread | BAY -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | BAY -400 TTU +350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BAY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BAY +15 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | BAY -10.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.9 (+18.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BAY -10.5 (+4.5) | 143.8 (+17.2) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BAY -8.8 (+6.2) | 138.3 (+22.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BAY -11.1 (+3.9) | 145.4 (+15.6) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BAY -9.8 (+5.2) | 145.4 (+15.6) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | TTU 92 – 73 BAY |
| Mar 13, 2025 | TTU 76 – 74 BAY |
| Feb 5, 2025 | TTU 73 – 59 BAY |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TTU 78 – 68 BAY |
| Feb 7, 2024 | BAY 79 – 73 TTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BAY | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-2 | 18-11 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 9-8 |
| Home | 11-0 | 11-4 |
| Away | 7-1 | 5-4 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 82.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.5 | 63.2 |
| Massey | 22.4 (#2) | 14.9 (#14) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.76 (#2) | 2.52 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.74 (#2) | 3.13 (#20) |
| RPI | 0.644 (#2) | 0.571 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BAY | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.6% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 42.0% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 35.4 |
| OREB / G | 12.8 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.44 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.8% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 37.1% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 28.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.7% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.5% | 23.6% |
| DRB% | 69.1% | 71.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.