Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -150 DEL +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +8 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -3.0 (+5.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.5 (+22.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -2.0 (+6.0) | 139.3 (+18.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -2.6 (+5.4) | 134.6 (+23.4) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -2.7 (+5.3) | 137.9 (+20.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -1.9 (+6.1) | 139.6 (+18.4) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2025 | HOF 78 – 65 DEL |
| Jan 24, 2025 | HOF 93 – 68 DEL |
| Mar 11, 2024 | HOF 73 – 58 DEL |
| Jan 6, 2024 | HOF 76 – 71 DEL |
| Jan 14, 2023 | HOF 86 – 62 DEL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-10 | 7-8 |
| Conference | 8-6 | 5-4 |
| Home | 7-3 | 6-3 |
| Away | 5-6 | 1-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.0 | 66.9 |
| Massey | 0.3 (#160) | -2.7 (#209) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#154) | -0.65 (#225) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#161) | -0.71 (#214) |
| RPI | 0.531 (#113) | 0.453 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | DEL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 35.4 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 74.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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