Betting Lines
| Spread | PEPP -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | PEPP -168 SCU +142 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PEPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PEPP +8 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | PEPP -3.4 (+4.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (-0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PEPP -2.6 (+5.4) | 147.2 (+0.8) | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PEPP -2.3 (+5.7) | 146.5 (+1.5) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PEPP -2.8 (+5.2) | 149.8 (-1.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PEPP -2.3 (+5.7) | 146.3 (+1.7) | 61% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 3, 2026 | SCU 82 – 63 PEPP |
| Mar 10, 2025 | PEPP 78 – 76 SCU |
| Dec 29, 2024 | SCU 91 – 80 PEPP |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SCU 94 – 71 PEPP |
| Jan 7, 2024 | SCU 78 – 72 PEPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PEPP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-12 | 12-8 |
| Conference | 7-6 | 4-5 |
| Home | 7-5 | 6-3 |
| Away | 3-5 | 4-3 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.6 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 70.9 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#128) | -0.7 (#179) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.75 (#111) | 1.03 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.74 (#126) | 0.60 (#133) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#123) | 0.544 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PEPP | SCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 35.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 21.6% |
Game Analysis
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