Betting Lines
| Spread | NE -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | NE -300 W&M +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NE +16 | 110 | Won |
| Massey | NE -8.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.4 (-24.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NE -6.8 (+9.2) | 138.1 (-28.1) | 76% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NE -6.3 (+9.7) | 135.2 (-25.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NE -6.3 (+9.7) | 137.1 (-27.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NE -6.3 (+9.7) | 136.8 (-26.8) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | W&M 84 – 77 NE |
| Feb 13, 2026 | W&M 94 – 67 NE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | NE 70 – 68 W&M |
| Jan 27, 2024 | W&M 72 – 68 NE |
| Feb 18, 2023 | NE 69 – 57 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NE | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-9 | 7-10 |
| Conference | 8-2 | 4-6 |
| Home | 5-1 | 1-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 64.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 72.0 |
| Massey | 0.4 (#156) | -8.1 (#282) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#127) | -0.68 (#229) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.37 (#149) | -1.38 (#262) |
| RPI | 0.563 (#63) | 0.478 (#212) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NE | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.5% | 29.3% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 18.8% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 23.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.4% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.1% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 17.6% |
Game Analysis
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