Betting Lines
| Spread | GRAM -7.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | GRAM -275 AAMU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GRAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GRAM +8 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | GRAM -5.7 (+2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.3 (+25.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GRAM -4.5 (+3.5) | 129.3 (+22.7) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GRAM -4.0 (+4.0) | 134.9 (+17.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GRAM -4.9 (+3.1) | 134.4 (+17.6) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GRAM -4.4 (+3.6) | 129.1 (+22.9) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 4, 2026 | AAMU 77 – 63 GRAM |
| Feb 10, 2026 | AAMU 66 – 58 GRAM |
| Mar 11, 2025 | GRAM 73 – 56 AAMU |
| Mar 7, 2025 | GRAM 67 – 51 AAMU |
| Feb 11, 2025 | GRAM 72 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-12 | 6-9 |
| Conference | 9-6 | 4-9 |
| Home | 6-4 | 5-2 |
| Away | 5-7 | 1-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 63.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 67.2 |
| Massey | -10.7 (#317) | -13.9 (#335) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.48 (#287) | -1.62 (#299) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.25 (#304) | -3.05 (#328) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#242) | 0.416 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GRAM | AAMU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.4% | 27.5% |
| REB / G | 34.0 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.70 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 21.7% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 20.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.5% | 43.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 70.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.