Betting Lines
| Spread | GCU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | GCU -275 UVU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | GCU -7.4 (+2.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (+0.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -5.3 (+4.7) | 133.3 (+4.7) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -5.9 (+4.1) | 130.3 (+7.7) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -5.9 (+4.1) | 133.0 (+5.0) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -5.8 (+4.2) | 132.8 (+5.2) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 16, 2025 | GCU 89 – 82 UVU |
| Feb 2, 2025 | GCU 75 – 57 UVU |
| Jan 10, 2025 | UVU 72 – 64 GCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | GCU 86 – 67 UVU |
| Jan 19, 2024 | GCU 78 – 65 UVU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GCU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-7 | 11-11 |
| Conference | 9-3 | 9-4 |
| Home | 10-3 | 8-4 |
| Away | 5-1 | 3-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 72.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 62.8 | 74.5 |
| Massey | 2.9 (#125) | -2.0 (#196) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#195) | -0.70 (#232) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.00 (#175) | -0.91 (#228) |
| RPI | 0.497 (#173) | 0.507 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GCU | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.3% | 35.7% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 32.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 26.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.2% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.8% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 76.2% | 76.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 25.7% |
Game Analysis
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