Betting Lines
| Spread | UNLV -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | WYO +120 UNLV -110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WYO +11 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | WYO -1.2 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -1.9 (+9.1) | 145.2 (+3.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -1.0 (+10.0) | 144.0 (+5.0) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -1.0 (+10.0) | 143.7 (+5.3) | 60% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -1.2 (+9.8) | 145.4 (+3.6) | 56% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | UNLV 73 – 70 WYO |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WYO 98 – 66 UNLV |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UNLV 68 – 57 WYO |
| Jan 22, 2025 | WYO 63 – 61 UNLV |
| Feb 28, 2024 | UNLV 75 – 69 WYO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-11 | 12-15 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-5 | 3-7 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.6 | 67.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 69.7 |
| Massey | -2.3 (#200) | -1.0 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#137) | 0.01 (#172) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#151) | -0.19 (#184) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#196) | 0.493 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 19.3% |
| ORB% | 23.2% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 14.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 74.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.3% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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